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How much are you expecting when you sell
your business? I always ask this question of our clients.
The answers are as different as the businesses. "We need $5
million to give us the type of retirement we want. We have
invested $2 million in the product. Our investors have put
in $3 million so far. It should sell for $5 million. I heard
that xyz Company got $30 million for their company." Well,
my response to my clients doesn't necessarily endear me to
them, but it is the truth. The market doesn't care. The
market doesn't care how much it cost you to develop the
product or how much your investors have in or how much you
need to retire or how much you think it is worth.
The market looks at what the ROI is for
its investment in a company. If you are fortunate enough to
have a technology that can be leveraged, the market may look
at the future returns of that technology in stronger hands.
For most businesses, there are benchmarks
that are often used as a starting point. The most common in
a merger and acquisition situation is an EBITDA multiple.
That is the gold standard for privately held companies,
similar to what a PE multiple is as a business valuation
metric for publicly traded stocks. One of the measures that
has come into vogue on Wall Street is a PEG multiple or
Price Earnings Growth. It is essentially a way to attempt to
quantify the difference in PE multiples between two firms in
the same industry that have a much different future growth
scenario.
Buyers of businesses that are privately
held attempt to ignore this factor when making their
purchase offers.
One small company was in an industry
characterized by slow growth of about 4%, had commodity type
products and consequently very thin gross margins, and had
little pricing power. This company introduced a new product
that was unique, had very healthy margins, retained some
pricing power, and was experiencing 50% year over year
growth.
The industry benchmark valuations were at
4.5 X EBITDA. The three largest players in the industry were
all interested in the acquisition and each one put out an
initial bid that was, surprise, about 4.5 X EBITDA. Another
factor was that our client was in rapid growth mode so a
good deal of their costs were front end loaded as they
launched a few big box retailers during this period. The
effect of this was to depress their EBITDA performance. This
made these offers even more inadequate.
The result is that we have a classic
valuation gap between business buyer and business seller.
This is the biggest reason that many merger and acquisition
transactions do not happen. The clients are terribly
disappointed and suggest that these buyers "just don't get
it." The buyers have experience in making several
acquisitions in their space and have their business
valuation metrics pretty much in stone and think our sellers
are being unreasonable in their expectations. Game over,
right?
Not so fast. One of the most important
roles of a business broker, merger and acquisition advisor
or investment banker is devise a transaction value and
structure that works for both parties. We pointed out to the
buyers that their traditional way of looking at these
transactions is appropriate for their prior acquisitions
with standard growth metrics, lack of pricing power, and
commodity type products. We suggest to business sellers that
as a small company with a few big box retailers comprising
80% of company sales with essentially one main product, that
they have a great deal of small company risk. For example,
if the retail buyer from xyz Big Box Retailer changes and is
replaced by a buyer that has a consolidation of vendors
bias, then they could lose 30% of their business with one
decision. A bigger company, however, with 30 SKU's would be
much harder to replace with a change in buyers.
We have established a platform with both
buyer and seller to consider alternatives to their hard and
fast valuation positions. Here is an example of a business
sale transaction structure that could be a win for both
buyer and seller:
1. $1,000,000 Cash at Close which is
approximately a 4 X EBITDA multiple for the year 2007.
2. An Earn out (Additional Transaction
Value) based on Seller Company's Sales Revenue beginning in
year 1 and ending at the end of year 5. The earnout is at
risk, but is set to net the shareholders a 6 X EBITDA
multiple on 2008 projected sales (sales $6 million and
EBITDA margin of 16.67% or EBITDA of $1,000,000).
This is the transaction structure we are
recommending to balance a low EBITDA valuation on a company
that will grow revenues by 50% next year. If they don't,
then the earn out will be less. Most of the transaction
value is in future performance based earn out. Our
projection is that with Buyer Company cost efficiencies,
Buyer Company can improve operating performance by an amount
that covers the entire earn out amount and maintains or even
improves Seller Company's historical margins.
Most business buyers that approach a
company with an unsolicited interest in acquiring them are
bottom feeders and will attempt to buy way below the market.
They will attempt to draw out the process and pursue several
acquisitions simultaneously hoping that one or two sellers
just cave and sell out at a discount. They may start out at
a decent valuation, but as they go through their due
diligence process will find one issue after another that
makes them reduce their offer. They often throw out the term
"material adverse change" in an attempt to justify their
value reducing behaviors. Some business development
directors get judged or paid bonuses on how much below the
original offer they can ultimately close the deal.
What is the way to combat this bad buyer
behavior? The best way is to have options. Those options are
multiple interested buyers. We feel very uncomfortable when
we end up with only one buyer. We have taken them through
the entire marketing phase and end up with only one
legitimate interested buyer. You bet that buyer recognizes
the issues and the likelihood of limited interest and will
attempt all of the maneuvers to drive down the buying price
and terms. Our negotiating position on behalf of our seller
client is severely weakened and we struggle to preserve
value in spite of doing this every day. Think about how
effective you will be in this single buyer scenario. We tell
our prospective clients that contact us after an unsolicited
offer, "When it comes to business valuation, if you have
only one buyer, he is right."
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Dave Kauppi
is the editor of The Exit Strategist Newsletter, a
Merger and Acquisition Advisor and President of
MidMarket Capital, representing owners in the
sale of privately held businesses. We provide Wall
Street style investment banking services to lower mid
market companies at a size appropriate fee structure.
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